US Election 2024: Exit Polls Show Tight Race as Trump Leads in Key Swing States

US Election 2024: Exit Polls Show Tight Race as Trump Leads in Key Swing States


Exit polls from the 2024 US Presidential Election reveal a close race, with Republican candidate Donald Trump leading in several critical swing states. Trump has reportedly secured over 20 historically red states, and exit poll data shows him with a slight edge in major battlegrounds, increasing his chances of victory. This momentum has impacted markets, strengthening the US Dollar (USD) and boosting global stocks amid "Trump trade" optimism.


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Current Electoral Vote Count and Predictions


According to current projections, Trump leads with 211 electoral votes, while Democratic nominee Kamala Harris holds 145. The New York Times election forecast gives Trump an 88% probability of winning. Despite Trump’s lead, final results remain uncertain in key swing states, with some vote counts expected to take days.



Swing State Updates and Delays in Vote Counting


Wisconsin: Exit polls suggest Trump holds 51% of the vote versus Harris' 48%, with 63% of votes counted. However, disruptions, including hoax bomb threats and errors in ballot handling, have delayed vote counts in Milwaukee, potentially affecting Wisconsin’s critical outcome.

North Carolina: Trump leads with 88% of the vote counted, further strengthening his position.

Michigan: Early results show Trump at 51.6% compared to Harris’ 46.7%, with 30% of votes tallied.

Nebraska District 2: Initial counts give Harris a 54.4% advantage, while Trump holds 38%, with 78% of votes counted.

Arizona: In a tight race, both Trump and Harris are evenly split, with approximately 50% of votes counted.

Nevada: Polls indicate 47% of voters view Trump favorably compared to 48% for Harris, suggesting a close race.

Georgia: With 90% of votes counted, Trump reportedly leads with 51.1% compared to Harris’ 48.2%. Some media outlets have already called Georgia in Trump’s favor.


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Pennsylvania: A Decisive Swing State


In Pennsylvania, one of the most crucial states, early returns favor Trump. With around 76% of votes counted, Trump holds 51% to Harris' 48%. Given Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes, this state may prove decisive in determining the 2024 election winner.


As vote counts continue, the race remains competitive, and final results from these pivotal states could shape the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election. Stay tuned for real-time updates on this historic election.


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